Archive for June, 2010

The Global Warming Lie

June 15, 2010

Submitted for possible publication to Catholic Voice and U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops, May 2010. Revised June 13, 2010.

The Global Warming Lie

An essay delivered to the Catholic Voice and the US Conference of Catholic Bishops for consiteration

Ron Kilmartin, Pleasant Hill, CA

“ Some of the hysteric and extreme claims about global warming are [snip] a symptom of pagan emptiness, of Western fear when confronted by the immense and basically uncontrollable forces of nature. Belief in a benign God who is master of the universe has a steadying psychological effect, although it is no guarantee of Utopia, no guarantee that the continuing climate and geographic changes will be benign. In the past pagans sacrificed animals and even humans in vain attempts to placate capricious and cruel gods. Today they demand a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions…” Cardinal George Pell, Archbishop of Sydney, Islam and Western Democracies, February, 2006.

Cardinal Pell’s view on man-made global warming differs significantly from that of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops, which seems to be caught up in the politics of global warming, agreeing with the Gores of this world that we all must reduce our “carbon footprint”.

As a water resources engineer since the 1950s I devoted many years to extension of hydrologic and climatologic data for engineering of water projects around the world. These investigations led to a published paper “Hydroclimatology, A Needed Cross Discipline” (1980) by the American Society of Civil Engineers. The theme of that paper was that climatologic and oceanographic data extension formed a necessary context and adjunct to hydrologic data statistics, extension, and fill-in, particularly in areas with sparse data. The extended data was frequently used for use in risk-based design of projects for irrigation, water supply and hydroelectric power, using both deterministic (process) historical models and stochastic models for alternative futures. Since then, others have written hundreds of papers on hydroclimatology and it has become a multidisciplinary field of its own.

I argue from this background that the recent Climategate discoveries have verified the suspicions of many skeptics , including myself, that the anthropogenic warming theory was wrong. Climategate shed light on the hypocrisy, lies, and shenanigans that have emanated from a small band of powerful zealots in the climate science establishment. The U.S. Bishop Conference has probably been unduly influenced by the suffocating propaganda of the zealots and their allies. The Bishops are not alone.

A digression into climate history at this point is vital. Investigators of the historical agricultural, population and cultural history records of the middle ages (e.g., H.H. Lamb) showed that a major global warming event occurred in the years 850 to 1350 AD (more or less). Now-frozen Greenland was colonized by Eric the Red and Great Britain grew grapes that made better wines than the vines of France. This was at a time when not only were there no SUVs and power plants to generate the dreaded carbon footprint (CO2), it was at a time of a relatively tiny world population of about 300 million, compared to 6,800 million today. The importance of these facts cannot be overemphasized. If the dwarf footprint of medieval man produced no significant warming, the Medieval Warming had to be entirely due to natural causes, as with the Little Ice Age that followed from 1350 to 1850 (mor or less). Since Lamb’s work in the Euro-Atlantic region, other investigators have developed proxy data that mapped the Medieval Warming as a world-wide occurrence.

A finding that stands out from the proxy reconstructions of the Medieval Warming is that the average global temperatures in those times likely exceeded anything experienced in the XX century. To restate this point, the 500-year Medieval Warming was entirely due to natural causes and exceeded the magnitude of the purported global warming of the late XX century. The reason for the adjective “purported” will become clear below.

The global warming zealots nevertheless tried to hide the Medieval Warming since it seriously conflicted with (i.e., totally debunked) their world view that all XX-century global warming was from man-made CO2 emissions. Since the zealots cannot reproduce the Medieval Warming with their deterministic computer models, the algorithms they have written blame the warming all on anthropogenic CO2, and take no account of natural causes.

Various attempts were made to hide the Medieval Warming with incorrect statistical analysis (the so-called hockey stick), and with massaging the data to yield XX-century trend lines that agreed with the zealots’ man-made global warming hypothesis. One of the tricks uncovered in the Climategate affair was the elimination of many cold-weather Siberian and Canadian stations from the global database and substitution of data from urban heat islands. Urban heat islands from major cities like Los Angeles give a false reading on real atmospheric temperature and temperature trends over time, as compared to rural thermometers, which are better samplers of the global atmosphere that are unaffected by ambient heat generation. This subterfuge lead to an exponential exaggeration of the real warming since 1980.

How the history of climate is interpreted is vitally important for asking the question “Is there a problem? Meteorologist Dr. Roy Spencer has reviewed this historic data and has concluded that there actually may have been no significant late XX century warming. The satellite observations since 1979 do not show any warming, and the ground-based temperature data have been compromised by the extensive manipulation done by the agencies charged with maintaining the data: National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) , National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), and the British Climate Research Unit (CRU). Post climategate studies comparing actual and massaged data (cited below) show a significant difference between actual data and the massaged data, the former generally showing little or no trend and the latter showing significant warming (11,12).

Essentially all the climate studies based on the fowled databases are worthless. And there are hundreds, if not thousands of such studies, all predicting, not surprisingly, a climate Armageddon. We thus have the greatest hoax of all time, really a global conspiracy by the zealots and their cohorts.

The same cabal of agencies charged with maintaining the data are also the offices of some of the most rabid global warming zealots who are responsible for the hoax. Coordination of the hoax has been the job of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which has widely propagated the lie that there is a global consensus of scientists supporting the man-made global warming theory. In fact the small handful of scientists involved in writing the final IPCC policy reports were some of the same zealots in the CRU-NOAA-NASA cabal that tinkered with the data in the first place. A key disinformation tactic used by warming advocates was control of dissent. The zealots dictated what papers were published, and they did not allow any dissenting views.

In all fairness to the Conference of Catholic Bishops, their main position paper on climate change is dated 2001, and their technical references were mostly to the IPCC reports then available, all predicting dire consequences from man-made global warming- the Gore propaganda movie featured many of these “predictions”, such as flooding of Manhattan Island, giant hurricanes, drought, etc. The bishops should not be ashamed of their endorsement – hundreds of governments, politicians, environmentalists, professors, teachers, and students were frightened (out of their God-given senses) by this spell of lies, and all jumped on the carbon-footprint bandwagon, based on fear of the unknown and belief in the zealot scientists, instead of, as Cardinal Pell wrote, a benign God.

But it is not just the zealot scientists, it is zealot environmentalists, duped politicians, ethics-challenged bureaucracies such as EPA, NOAA, NASA, CRU and CARB (California Air Resources Board) and their bureaucrats. Big banks like Goldman Sachs, and huge companies like General Electric and British Petroleum are all girding up for big profits under cap and trade. These profits will come directly out of the pockets of taxpayer and energy consumers, with a devastating effect on the poor of the world.

Greenies and Charlatans have perpetrated these frauds not just on the American people but the entire world. To the extent that “green” this and that depend on the CO2 hoax, they have no scientific basis and are doomed eventually for the dust bin of history, along with the CO2 hoax. Thus “cap and trade”, “green jobs”, “green industry”, “green energy” are all ideas whose merits depend mostly on the CO2 hoax. Unfortunately for all humanity they will not go to the dustbin without a fight. We are going to be stuck with the detritus from the CO2 hoax for some time before the zealots and their cohorts find a real job.

An associated hoax which the American Bishops have bought into is that global warming will burdened the poor with physical catastrophe so we must cut back on carbon production. Again in fairness to the bishops, the dire predictions of rising oceans, monster hurricanes and killing droughts that were promulgated by the IPCC and others were indeed cause for concern, if there had been any truth to them. But these horrendous predictions were all lies. Lies promulgated by UN elites such as Maurice Strong as a means to a global socialist end.

The real truth is that cutting back man’s carbon footprint would be an economic catastrophe world-wide that would actually devastate the world’s poor. Nearly all production world wide is based fundamentally on carbon. Cutting carbon-based production requires cutting back on production, stymieing investment, destroying jobs all across the board in most all countries, and further debasement of the world’s currencies.

Green energy potential moreover is miniscule compared to world energy needs, is ten times as expensive in caapital cost and has no reliability unless backup up by thermal plants. It is basically a costly appendage of the CO2 hoax requiring diversion of gigantic resources in the multi-trillions of dollars that could go to aid the poor but which will have been wasted on wind mills and the like, if the climate-energy bills go through.

Even “green” workers will eventually go jobless as the economy buckles under the iron boot of anti-industrial anti-work regulations by such agencies as CARB and EPA.

Energy Economist Steven F. Hayward has analyzed the effect of the so-called 80 by 50 rule, reducing emissions by 80% by 2050. His conclusion is that this rule would set the US economy back to the days of the cotton gin. That economy could not provide anywhere near the number of jobs needed for today’s population.

CO2 regulation is a recipe for national economic disaster. Those who are on the bottom rung of the ladder will be pushed down even further by those loosing their jobs higher up. Advancing the quality of life for the poor cannot be achieved by a tanked economy in which all are poor. That applies to the economy of our state, our nation, and indeed the entire world.

This critique of the global warming hoax is equally applicable to the corrupt governments we have in both Washington and Sacramento. We have a lot of big shots and snake oil salesmen trying to get the taxpayers to pay for their many big and little bailiwicks they have written into the bills, with unbelievably corrupt political connivance. In the case of Washington, it is a hot item on the Senate floor at this writing. In the case of California the law is already on the books: it is called AB (Assembly Bill) 32 – The Global Warming Final Solutions Act of 2006.

AB 32 is a California job killer. It is like a machine gun that will wipe out business after business leaving a lot of people without work in the debris. The originators of this foul work have created a monster that will result in the further crippling of the California economy and loss of thousands of jobs. By crippling the economy of essential sectors such as construction, agriculture, energy, mining , cement , lumber, etc., the depression-like contagion will spread to all sectors of the economy leading to a mass exodus of business and massive unemployment. Silicon Valley will not escape – if you have no customers, you have no business! It is ironic that some Silicon Valley Companies blindly support AB 32, not realizing it will wipe out their customer base. Some environmental supporters of AB 32 hope for exactly that consequence – they could care less about how it will affect people, as long as it promotes depopulation of the state.

And dear American Bishops, please update your support for energy and climate solutions based on real facts that you have yourselves scientifically examined.

Unfortunately you cannot trust any government agencies or most universities on this. The corrupt zealots in these places are all counting on a permanent employment and retirement program from their forecasts and regulations, and have no scruples about killing the U.S. economy in the process. You must contact the so-called deniers, mostly retired scientists, engineers, and statisticians who have labored for years without government aid and little income. Their sense of dedication to unearthing this scandal has been nothing less that heroic. They worked for a pittance, while the zealots commanded multi-billion dollar budgets and huge research fiefdoms – all wasted.

In November 2009 the Catholic Relief Services put out a call to action urging Catholics to call their senator to support the “Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act”. This act (a precursor of the present Senate bill) would propel America back to the days of the cotton gin, as Hayward pointed out. It belongs in the dust-bin of history. The Bishops should retract this call for action since it was based on IPCC propaganda that has since been found to be fraudulent.

The Catholic Church made a terrible blunder with Galileo. The Church must not repeat it with the global warming hoax. Cardinal Pell spoke the truth – it is the pagan secularists, plus the Gramsci cultural Marxists of the extreme left that are using the global warming hoax to advance their statist agenda to control every facet of our lives. And that secular agenda has no space in it for the Catholic Church, or indeed any church. Gramsi envisioned the Church as the major obstacle to communism in Italy and elsewhere and advocated its infiltration and turning it to the side of Marxism. Today’s Marxists seek the same objective through the climate-energy Trojan Horse.

Ron Kilmartin, P.E.
Pleasant Hill, CA

P.S. Some references that the bishops should consult include the following:

1. Great Global Warming Blunder, How Mother Nature Fooled the World’s Top Climate Scientists, by Roy W. Spencer, 2010.
2. Climate – Present, Past, and Future, Vol.I, 1972; Vol II, 1976, by H.H.Lamb.
3. Red Hot Lies How Global Warming Alarmists used Threats, Fraud, and Deception to Keep You Misinformed, 2008, by Chris Horner.
4. The Hockey Stick Illusion, Climategate and the Corruption of Science, 2010,by A. W. Montford
5. Global Warming False Alarm, 2009, by Ralph B. Alexander.
6. The Real Global Warming Disaster – Is the Obsession with ‘Climate Change’ Turning out to be the most Costly Scientific Blunder in History?, 2009, by Christopher Booker.
7. Taken by Storm, 2007, by Christopher Essex and Ross McKitrick, 2007.
8. Unstoppable Global Warming – Every 1500 years, 2007, by S. Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery
9. Climategate, A Meteorologist exposes the global warming scam, 2010, by Brian Sussman
10. Climategate, The CRUtape letters, 2010, by Steven Mosher and Thomas W. Fuller.
11. Surface Temperature Records: Policy Driven Deceptions?, 2010, by Joseph D’Aleo and Anthony Watts, Science and Public Policy Institute Paper.
12. Contiguous U.S. Temperature Trends Using NCDC Raw and Adjusted Data for One-Per-State Rural and Urban Station Sets, 2010, by Edward R. Long, Science and Public Policy Institute Paper.
13. Contribution of USHCN and GISS Bias in Long-Term Temperature records for a Well-Situated Rural Weather Station, 2010, by David W. Schnare, Science and Public Policy Institute Blogwatch Series.

Additionally the bishops should monitor skeptic (i.e., truthful) websites such as Whatsupwiththat, Climaterealists, Junkscience, Climateaudit, Joanne Nova, all of which have links to many more informative skeptic websites. When you count all the participants in these blogs, you have the input of literally thousands of scientists world wide. They do not get media attention since they do not agree with the media propaganda line, and they do not get government funding since they do not agree with the funding agencies.

California, broke, cutting schools and welfare, but still spending wildly on the Carbon Hoax

June 15, 2010

Submitted to American Thinker for possible publication, April, 2010

California, broke, cutting schools and welfare, but still spending wildly on the Carbon Hoax

The zero impact of Climategate and Copenhagen on the Zealots in Sacramento -Why is California still out of step with the rest of the world?

Ron Kilmartin, Pleasant Hill, CA

California is marching into the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) regulatory morass ( AB 32, AB 1493 – the Pavley bills, and probably others) with ever-increasing deliberation. While the full hammer of these bills has not yet fallen, by the time our Eighth grade-schoolers are ready to go to work, these bills will have turned California into an “green” economic wasteland (actual color will be desert sand). The Pavley bills will trip the bankruptcy cord not only for the state, but for thousands of business and for millions of individuals.

While California with its governor, its legislature and its state bureaucrats (CARB, Energy Commission, Natural Resources, Utility Commission and who knows what else), are all sleepwalking in a trance, as if Climategate did not happen, all stupefied by the global warming hoax of Al Gore and a handful of scoundrel scientists, it is startling to look at how the rest of the world views the CO2 hoax today; it is some contrast compared to the almost zero coverage in the US liberal media and zero attention by the AGW Zealots of Sacramento..

Below are some extracts the writer culled from recent articles from outside the state and outside the country which have a far more jaundiced view of the CO2 hoax than held by the American media or the Zealots of Sacramento.

Californians should ask why is California government (or the United States, for that matter) so out of step with the rest of the world’s evaluation of the twin spectacles of Copenhagen and Climategate, which displayed for all to see the specious nature of the CO2 global warming hoax? The fallacy and fraud is openly discussed elsewhere but not here. The American liberal media is still circling the wagons on the anthropogenic global warming hoax, as is our state government which refuses to recognize the economic catastrophe it is brewing for the state with AB32 and similar carbon control bills.

All these carbon control measures now rest on a mid-air foundation – a bubble so the speak. Objects, businesses, governments and agencies with an anti-CO2 foundation will fall – the economic system has a “gravity” that pulls down anything that is not well founded (great example: the State government itself). The whole purpose of AB32 and like bills just came crashing down; their foundation – the CO2 AGW theory – no longer has any credence. Unfortunately a good deal of taxpayer money has already gone into subsidizing green industries and they are rapidly becoming an albatross around the taxpayers neck, as well as the giant bureaucracies dependent on the empty promise of a permanent job regulating fellow citizens.

After each of the following extracts there is a URL where the reader can read the complete article – which is highly recommended. The overriding theme is that the CO2 scam is finished. It should be finished here too.

1. From The Australian – 2/14/10 – It’s time for some time out – anon.

Six weeks after Copenhagen, the IPCC report has been devalued by revelations of flimsy evidence and dodgy reporting. Many parts of the report contain solid science but that is not the point. It is increasingly impossible for governments to unquestioningly construct policy based on a report now so compromised. A fresh look at scientific data on climate change is needed before politicians can ask taxpayers to embark on schemes that could lead to trillions of dollars of lost wealth around the globe in coming decades. …”

2. From Open Magazine (India) 1/30/10 -The Hottest Hoax in the World by Ninad D. Sheth

The climate change fraud that is now unravelling is unprecedented in its deceit, unmatched in scope—and for the liberal elite, akin to 9 on the Richter scale. Never have so few fooled so many for so long, ever.

The entire world was being asked to change the way it lives on the basis of pure hyperbole. Propriety, probity and transparency were routinely sacrificed.

The truth is: the world is not heating up in any significant way. Neither are the Himalayan glaciers going to melt as claimed by 2035. Nor is there any link at all between natural disasters such as Hurricane Katrina and global warming. All that was pure nonsense, or if you like, ‘no-science’,

3. From The Arizona Republic – 2/13/10 – Arizona quits Western Climate Endeavor by Shaun McKinnon

(Governor) Brewer stopped short of pulling Arizona out of the multistate coalition that plans to regulate greenhouse gases starting in 2012. But she made it clear in an executive order that Arizona will not endorse the emission-control plan or any program that could raise costs for consumers and businesses.

State officials said the policy shift was rooted in concerns that the controversial emissions plan would slow the state’s economic recovery. Brewer says the state should focus less on regulations and more on renewable energy and investments by businesses that can create green jobs.

The governor also ordered the Arizona Department of Environmental Quality to take another look at stricter vehicle-emissions rules set to take effect in 2012. Automakers said the rules, based on those adopted by California, would raise the cost of a new car significantly.

The governor’s order is another blow to the Western Climate Initiative, a group of seven states and four Canadian provinces that joined forces in 2007 after growing impatient with the federal government to address climate change. …”

4. From TheSpectator(uk) – 2/3/20 – By the waters of denial they sit and weep… by Melanie Phillips:

Nevertheless when the BBC, no less, starts to allow an interviewee to start telling the truth like this:

I hate to say this – but there is a very strong –it’s very small – but there is a very strong green fascism in much of the environmental world. I’ve heard it said at meetings I’ve been at – that climate change is so important – democracy has to be sacrificed something big is definitely happening. And that something is the disintegration of anthropogenic global warming theory. The ‘scientific’ basis for it is de-materialising day by day, leaving merely the sulphurous stink of intellectual fraud on an epic scale.

The IPCC has been forced to admit that it was wrong to predict that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035 and has been accused of falsely linking global warming to a rise in extreme weather events. Subsequently it was revealed that the IPCC stated that

Observed reductions in mountain ice in the Andes, Alps and Africa was being caused by global warming, citing two papers as the source of the information. However, it can be revealed that one of the sources quoted was a feature article published in a popular magazine for climbers which was based on anecdotal evidence from mountaineers about the changes they were witnessing on the mountainsides around them. The other was a dissertation written by a geography student, studying for the equivalent of a master’s degree, at the University of Berne in Switzerland that quoted interviews with mountain guides in the Alps. …”

5. From The Mail On Line (UK) – 2/14/10 – Climategate U-turn as scientist at centre of row admits: There has been no global warming since 1995 By Jonathan Petre

Article summarizes a BBC interview with Phil Jones, who is the man at the very center of climategate – chief honcho at the British Climate Research Unit.:

Data for vital ‘hockey stick graph’ has gone missing

There has been no global warming since 1995

Warming periods have happened before – but NOT due to man-made changes

He [Jones] also agreed that there had been two periods which experienced similar warming, from 1910 to 1940 and from 1975 to 1998, but said these could be explained by natural phenomena whereas more recent warming could not.

He further admitted that in the last 15 years there had been no ‘statistically significant’ warming, although he argued this was a blip rather than the long-term trend.

And he said that the debate over whether the world could have been even warmer than now during the medieval period, when there is evidence of high temperatures in northern countries, was far from settled….”

He also leaves open the possibility, long resisted by climate change activists, that the ‘Medieval Warm Period’ from 800 to 1300 AD, and thought by many experts to be warmer than the present period, could have encompassed the entire globe.

This is an amazing retreat, since if it was both global and warmer, the green movement’s argument that our current position is ‘unprecedented’ would collapse.

These current extracts from around the world are representative of many more articles on the CO2 hoax that can be found on the internet, except from the land of the lying progressive media – the good old USA (with the notable exception above of the Arizona Republic and probably a few others). Noel Sheppard highlights the media dysfunction in NewsBusters – ClimateGater Jones’ stunning global warming revelations ignored (see item 5 above), The story broke on February 13, but as 2/16/2010 it had only come out on Fox News and in a lone report by CNN.

So silence is the way to report the implosion of a multi-trillion dollar hoax that was about to bankrupt the world? As Sheppard reports, most all the Big Media by contrast reported a story about filmmaker Kevin Smith getting being thrown off an air flight due to being too fat.

What ever happened to the “Fourth Estate” idea? Did that go out with socialized journalism – writing for the masses?

Ron Kilmartin
Consulting Engineer
Water & Rower Resources

415 Turrin Drive
Pleasant Hill, CA 94523
Tel 925 934 0378